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First published: March 23, 2022 @ 6:00 pm
The question of whether technology will replace human jobs is a difficult one to answer.
While automation and artificial intelligence are starting to change the way that many jobs are done, many others are being created or expanded.
This article will look at what it means for our economy and our society if automation replaces more jobs than it creates.
We will also examine some possible outcomes of a world in which we rely more on machines than on humans.
Photo by Tara Winstead from Pexels.
When machines become smart enough to do many human tasks, the need for human workers may decrease dramatically.
This is what has been happening with some recent technologies, such as the computerized phone system and automated check-in at airports.
The first wave of automation occurred when we had simple machines that did repetitive tasks, such as assembling car parts or weaving cloth.
The second wave has involved intelligent machines that can think like humans, rather than simply doing what we assign them to do.
However, there have been some important exceptions to this trend toward less need for humans in industrial work: AI assistants like Siri and Alexa may increase in importance in the coming years; driverless cars are already in testing; and machine learning algorithms are already helping companies improve their customer service operations.
The number of jobs available and the skills they require determine the need for humans to do those jobs.
When we compare the economy in a particular year to the economy we can estimate how many jobs there are and how many new jobs they will create.
We call the difference between these two “the employment gap”.
This article looks at several likely outcomes of an economy with more automation than human job creation and then makes some predictions about what will happen if that happens.
Automation is replacing many human jobs, but it’s not always easy to predict which ones we will lose and which ones we will create.
For example, recent technological advances in self-driving cars have caused people to question whether driverless cars will create more or fewer jobs than they eliminate.
In the Amazon retail store, employees who previously lifted and stacked goods are now robot operators.
They are responsible for monitoring all the automatic arms, and they resolve issues such as interruptions in the flow of items.
Similarly, self-checkout machines have reduced the need for cashiers at supermarkets, but may also eliminate some positions for bank tellers or store clerks.
We can only guess at what the future holds in terms of job loss and creation from automation; however, we can look at the past experience to make educated guesses about where technology is likely to lead us in the future.
Photo by Kindel Media from Pexels.
Automation has caused some jobs to disappear and others to manifest.
The biggest change occurred during the recession that began in 2008.
Warehouses accommodate certain types of robots and others to facilitate safe human-machine interaction.
During this time period, many jobs involve very low pay and low skill requirements; however, since then new higher-paying and higher-skill positions have come out as well.
We’ll define automation in two ways:
First, we’ll consider any technology that replaces a human worker with a machine or robot.
Second, we’ll consider only technology used by humans rather than by machines (we’ll use this definition for convenience).
Examples of automation include computers (used for calculations and database management), robots (used for manufacturing or serving food), driverless cars (used for transportation), and smartphones (used for messaging, phone calls, and emails).
We’ll use the terms “automation” and “automation” interchangeably.
While it is difficult to predict how many jobs automation will lose exactly, we can estimate that approximately 20% of U.S. jobs could use automation in the next 20 years.
There are many factors that determine automation replaces how many jobs:
All these factors contribute to the total number of jobs replaced by automation.
In conclusion, we can expect to see some change in the way that jobs are created and destroyed. However, it doesn’t necessarily mean that human jobs will be completely replaced by automation in the future, and vice versa.
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